Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 30Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Meadow, Caisleán Dhásain
The Footlab AI model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Moyola Park wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Moyola Park (1,318) and Warrenpoint Town (1,344).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moyola Park
4-3-3- 54K. Ximenes
- 9J. McCready
- 65L. Harkin
- 23J. Wallace
- AA. Gray
- CC. Houston
- RR. McLean
- BB. Deane
- NN. Fielding
- RR. McLean
- AA. Findlay
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyola Park have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Institute(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 5-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Moyola Park wins, 0 draws, 3 Warrenpoint Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 6-2 Moyola Park | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 2-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Moyola Park 3-2 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Moyola Park 0-3 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyola Park sit 13th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 9th (41 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warrenpoint TownChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 13 | Moyola ParkChampionship 1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 11 |
A question about Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Meadow, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.