Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Meadow, Caisleán Dhásain
The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Moyola Park (1,270) and Warrenpoint Town (1,245).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyola Park have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Moyola Park win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Warrenpoint Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 2-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Moyola Park 3-2 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Moyola Park 0-3 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyola Park sit 11th in Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 11 | Moyola Park | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Moyola Park vs Warrenpoint Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Meadow, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.