Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
Full time
What was the result of Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Ayr Utd won 0-1 on September 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. McKenzieAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Arbroath(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Airdrie United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Queen's Park(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Morton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Partick(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dunfermline win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ayr Utd 3-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| May 3, 2024 | Ayr Utd 3-3 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dunfermline 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunfermline sit 8th in Championship (2 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy