Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd: result 3-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
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What was the result of Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Dunfermline won 3-2 on February 13, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 41′A. GrahamAyr Utd
- 44′C. MooreAyr Utd (pen.)
- 45′M. MoffatDunfermline (pen.)
- 56′N. DevlinDunfermline (o.g.)
- 65′Fayssal El BakhtaouiDunfermline
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Jan 29, 2016 | Airdrie United(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Peterhead(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2015 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | Peterhead(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Stranraer(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2015 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 2-4 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2015 | Brechin(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dunfermline win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Dunfermline | League One |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Dunfermline 0-2 Ayr Utd | League One |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline on Dec 12, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy