Partick vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wyre Stadium at Firhill, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partick vs Dunfermline?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Partick (1,883) and Dunfermline (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partick have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Dunfermline have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Partick win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Dunfermline win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Partick 2-1 Dunfermline | Premiership |
| May 12, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-1 Partick | Premiership |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Partick 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dunfermline 2-2 Partick | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Partick 1-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-2 Partick | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Partick vs Dunfermline on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Partick score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partick sit 3rd in Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Dunfermline sit 8th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partick vs Dunfermline?
- The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Partick vs Dunfermline played?
- Partick vs Dunfermline is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wyre Stadium at Firhill, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.