Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stangmore Park, Dungannon
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Dungannon Swifts (1,541) and Carrick Rangers (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dungannon Swifts have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dungannon Swifts win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carrick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 5-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 3-3 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 0-2 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-3 Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dungannon Swifts sit 5th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stangmore Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.