Linfield vs Bangor: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Bangor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linfield vs Bangor?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,403).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linfield have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bangor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dergview(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Linfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bangor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Linfield 1-0 Bangor | Irish Cup |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Linfield 6-1 Bangor | Premiership |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Bangor 0-1 Linfield | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Bangor 0-3 Linfield | Premiership |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Bangor 1-4 Linfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bangor 2-1 Linfield | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bangor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bangor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linfield sit 7th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Bangor sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Bangor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linfield vs Bangor?
- The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Linfield vs Bangor played?
- Linfield vs Bangor is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.