Portadown vs Glentoran: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Portadown. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Glentoran?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Glentoran have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portadown win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Glentoran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Portadown 0-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Portadown 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Glentoran 0-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Portadown 1-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Portadown on Dec 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Glentoran sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Glentoran?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Glentoran played?
- Portadown vs Glentoran is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.