Linfield vs Limavady United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Limavady United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linfield vs Limavady United?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linfield have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Limavady United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Institute(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Linfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Limavady United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United 0-1 Linfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Limavady United 1-0 Linfield | Irish Cup |
Last archived meeting: Limavady United vs Linfield on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Limavady United score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Limavady United | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linfield sit 7th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Limavady United sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linfield vs Limavady United?
- The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Limavady United.
- Where and when is Linfield vs Limavady United played?
- Linfield vs Limavady United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.