Dunkerque vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Tribut, Dunkerque
The Footlab model makes Dunkerque the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunkerque vs PAU?
Dunkerque starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunkerque have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Reims(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dunkerque win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 PAU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Dunkerque 3-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | PAU 0-3 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | PAU 1-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Dunkerque 3-2 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Dunkerque 1-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | PAU 1-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunkerque score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| PAU | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunkerque sit 7th in Ligue 2 (4 points from 3 matches) and PAU sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dunkerque | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | PAU | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs PAU?
- The Footlab model makes Dunkerque the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PAU.
- Where and when is Dunkerque vs PAU played?
- Dunkerque vs PAU is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Tribut, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.