Saint Etienne vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Metz?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,995 vs 1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs Metz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saint Etienne wins, 2 draws, 2 Metz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Metz 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2024 | Saint Etienne 2-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Saint Etienne 1-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Metz 3-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Metz | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Metz vs Saint Etienne on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (19 points from 8 matches) and Metz sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Saint Etienne vs Metz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Metz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Metz.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Metz played?
- Saint Etienne vs Metz is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.