Duque de Caxias vs Ipatinga: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 5Kick-off on July 20, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Ipatinga?
Duque de Caxias won 3-2 on July 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 27′MarionIpatinga
- 33′Bruno VeigaDuque de Caxias
- 45′Bruno VeigaDuque de Caxias
- 47′CristianoIpatinga
- 90′Bruno VeigaDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ipatinga have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2013 | Madureira(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Nov 9, 2012 | Icasa(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2013 | Macaé(home) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Caxias(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | CRAC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 23, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ipatinga score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ipatinga | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy