Brasiliense vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 5Kick-off on July 21, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, Taguatinga, Distrito Federal
Full time
What was the result of Brasiliense vs Fortaleza EC?
Brasiliense won 1-0 on July 21, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 43′Dermival Almeida LimaBrasiliense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brasiliense have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2013 | Rio Branco(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2013 | CRB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 7, 2013 | Luverdense(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Baraúnas(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-5 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2013 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | CRB(home) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 14, 2013 | Rio Branco(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Baraúnas(away) | 4-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Brasiliense score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy