Mogi Mirim vs Grêmio Barueri: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 5Kick-off on July 20, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Grêmio Barueri?
Mogi Mirim won 3-1 on July 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 56′HarisonGrêmio Barueri
- 72′Thiago GasparinoMogi Mirim (o.g.)
- 74′Gilberto AlemãoMogi Mirim
- 76′AloísioMogi Mirim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grêmio Barueri have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2013 | Caxias(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2012 | CRAC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | CRAC(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Barueri score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy