Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Durban City. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,136 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,085 Elo points against 1,754, a 330-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durban City
4-1-4-1- 9T. Morris
- 17K. Jurgens
- 20Jean Lwamba
- 18B. Poggenpoel
- 35L. Sifumba
- 28E. Brooks
- 24J. Mokone
- 2B. Shandu
- 5S. Ncanana
- 30M. Mkhize
- 33F. Asare
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1-3-2- 33C. Mailula
- 12B. León
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 15B. Aubaas
- 10Nuno Santos
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 6A. Modiba
- 31R. Goss
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | ASPL 2000(away) | 3-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASPL 2000(home) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-3 | CAF Super Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Durban City wins, 0 draws, 3 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Durban City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 13th in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 9 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 26 |
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on March 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.