Match

Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats

Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA

Orlando PiratesRichards Bay

The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?

Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,055 Elo points against 1,669, a 386-point gap.

74%18%8%
Orlando Pirates winDrawRichards Bay win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Orlando Pirates

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Y. Mbuthuma
  1. 33T. Mokobodi
  2. 20S. Selepe
  3. 48S. Masilela
  4. 11T. Moremi
  5. 16T. Mbatha
  1. 6L. Seema
  2. 5N. Sibisi
  3. 3N. Ndaba
  4. 7D. Hotto
  1. 24S. Chaine

Richards Bay

4-1-4-1
  1. 27N. Xulu
  1. 20M. Mthembu
  2. 77L. Khumalo
  3. 37S. Gwele
  4. 12S. Gumbi
  5. 30S. Barns
  1. 22L. Mabuya
  2. 5T. Sikhakhane
  3. 3S. Khumalo
  4. 25S. Mcineka
  1. 16Nhlakanipho Ngcobo

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Richards Bay have 0, 7 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando Pirates
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kaizer Chiefs(home)2-1Premier Soccer League
Oct 27, 2026Milford FC(home)3-0League Cup
Oct 23, 2026African Stars(home)4-0CAF Champions League
Oct 17, 2026African Stars(away)1-0CAF Champions League
Oct 13, 2026TS Galaxy(home)3-0Premier Soccer League
Richards Bay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kruger United(away)1-3Premier Soccer League
Oct 25, 2026Sekhukhune United(away)1-3League Cup
Oct 13, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-4Premier Soccer League
Sep 19, 2026Sekhukhune United(home)2-3Premier Soccer League
Sep 13, 2026Milford FC(away)1-5Premier Soccer League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Orlando Pirates wins, 1 draw, 0 Richards Bay wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Richards Bay 2-2 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
Mar 11, 2026Orlando Pirates 2-0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
Nov 8, 2025Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando PiratesLeague Cup
Jan 26, 2025Richards Bay 1-3 Orlando PiratesCup
Nov 5, 2024Orlando Pirates 1-0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
Sep 29, 2024Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League

Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando Pirates score 2.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orlando Pirates2.20.3122/158/15
Richards Bay0.91.9212/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando Pirates sit 2nd in Premier Soccer League (25 points from 9 matches) and Richards Bay sit 16th (3 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Orlando Pirates981021225
16Richards Bay903611233

A question about Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?
The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Richards Bay.
Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay played?
Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay is played on March 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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