Durban City vs Stellenbosch: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Stellenbosch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Stellenbosch?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Durban City (1,734) and Stellenbosch (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Stellenbosch have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Durban City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Stellenbosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Durban City 0-0 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Stellenbosch 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Stellenbosch on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stellenbosch score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Stellenbosch | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 12th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Stellenbosch sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Stellenbosch?
- The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Stellenbosch.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Stellenbosch played?
- Durban City vs Stellenbosch is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.