Durban City vs Polokwane City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Polokwane City?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Durban City (1,751) and Polokwane City (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Polokwane City have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Durban City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Polokwane City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Durban City 1-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Durban City 4-1 Polokwane City | League Cup |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Polokwane City 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Polokwane City on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 7th in Premier Soccer League (5 points from 4 matches) and Polokwane City sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Durban City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Polokwane City?
- The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Polokwane City played?
- Durban City vs Polokwane City is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.