Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Marumo Gallants (1,659) and Polokwane City (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Polokwane City have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marumo Gallants win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Polokwane City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City 1-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Polokwane City 1-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Polokwane City 2-3 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Jan 23, 2019 | Polokwane City 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 3 matches) and Polokwane City sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City?
- The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.