Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Hohkeppel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Westkampfbahn, Düren
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Hohkeppel the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?
Eintracht Hohkeppel starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Düren Merzenich have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Eintracht Hohkeppel have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Düren Merzenich win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Eintracht Hohkeppel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel 2-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Düren Merzenich 0-3 Eintracht Hohkeppel | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2025 | Eintracht Hohkeppel 4-1 Düren Merzenich | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Düren Merzenich 2-1 Eintracht Hohkeppel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Düren Merzenich 2-1 Eintracht Hohkeppel | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Düren Merzenich 1-0 Eintracht Hohkeppel | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Düren Merzenich on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Hohkeppel score 3.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Eintracht Hohkeppel | 3.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Düren Merzenich sit 11th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (38 points from 30 matches) and Eintracht Hohkeppel sit 2nd (64 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 64 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Hohkeppel the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Hohkeppel played?
- Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Hohkeppel is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Westkampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.