Frechen vs Siegburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen
The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Frechen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frechen vs Siegburger SV?
Siegburger SV starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Siegburger SV have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Porz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frechen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Siegburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Siegburger SV 1-1 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Frechen 2-3 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Frechen 4-1 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Siegburger SV 1-1 Frechen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Siegburger SV 2-4 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Siegburger SV 0-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Siegburger SV vs Frechen on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frechen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frechen sit 7th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (50 points from 30 matches) and Siegburger SV sit 3rd (63 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frechen vs Siegburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Frechen.
- Where and when is Frechen vs Siegburger SV played?
- Frechen vs Siegburger SV is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.