SSV Merten vs Hürth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, Bornheim
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Hürth. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Merten vs Hürth?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Merten have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hürth have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Frechen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SSV Merten win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | SSV Merten 2-2 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Hürth 2-3 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hürth | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Merten vs Hürth?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Hürth.
- Where and when is SSV Merten vs Hürth played?
- SSV Merten vs Hürth is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.