Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Hankovým domem, Dvůr Králové nad Labem
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Dvůr Králové. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Ústí nad Orlicí starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,477).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dvůr Králové have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ústí nad Orlicí have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kolín(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hlinsko(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Hradec Králové(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Spartak Police n/Metují(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Trutnov(away) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dvůr Králové win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Dvůr Králové 0-1 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Ústí nad Orlicí 2-1 Dvůr Králové | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Dvůr Králové 0-3 Ústí nad Orlicí | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí on Mar 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Dvůr Králové score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dvůr Králové | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dvůr Králové sit 8th in 4. liga - Divizie C (4 points from 3 matches) and Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Dvůr Králové | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Dvůr Králové.
- Where and when is Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí played?
- Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pod Hankovým domem, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.