Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, Ústí nad Orlicí
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Svitavy. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy?
Ústí nad Orlicí starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Orlicí have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Svitavy have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hlinsko(home) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Hradec Králové(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Horní Ředice(home) | 2-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Svitavy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí 2-1 Svitavy | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Svitavy score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Svitavy | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie C (7 points from 3 matches) and Svitavy sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Svitavy | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Svitavy.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy played?
- Ústí nad Orlicí vs Svitavy is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.