Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dynamo Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shakhtar Donetsk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,187 vs 2,079).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 6V. Brazhko
- 10M. Shaparenko
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 16S. Ogundana
- 9N. Voloshyn
- 94T. Kędziora
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 9Kauã Elias
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 30Alisson Santana
- 27O. Ocheretko
- 77G. Mendoza
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 5V. Bondar
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 31D. Riznyk
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Kyiv have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2027 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Kyiv win, 2 draws, 3 Shakhtar Donetsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| May 14, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv on Oct 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Kyiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.8 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd in Premier League (22 points from 10 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
A question about Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dynamo Kyiv.
- Where and when is Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.