Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Dynamo Kyiv is a heavy favourite: 2,013 Elo points against 1,695, a 318-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Obolon'-Brovar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Obolon'-Brovar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Dynamo Kyiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-5 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.