Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Telšių centrinis stadionas, Telšiai
The Footlab model makes Džiugas Telšiai the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Panevėžys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Džiugas Telšiai (1,645) and Panevėžys (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Džiugas Telšiai have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Panevėžys have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Džiugas Telšiai win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Panevėžys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| May 30, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 4-0 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Panevėžys 0-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-1 Džiugas Telšiai | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-4 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Panevėžys 0-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Panevėžys score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Panevėžys | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th in A Lyga (37 points from 25 matches) and Panevėžys sit 8th (23 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys?
- The Footlab model makes Džiugas Telšiai the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Panevėžys.
- Where and when is Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys played?
- Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Telšių centrinis stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.