Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
The Footlab AI model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Kauno Žalgiris starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,729).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1- 27G. Debeljuh
- 20A. Kalik
- 9L. Kreković
- 14V. Slivka
- 8Y. Karashima
- 15Leonardo
- 33M. Konatar
- 23A. Hernández
- 3A. Tolordava
- 77R. Lekiatas
- 55T. Švedkauskas
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4-2-3-1- 19S. Bilenkyi
- 10P. Golubickas
- 18D. Šešplaukis
- 6M. Capan
- 20I. Lytvynenko
- 70Bryan Teixeira
- 4D. Lupano
- 77Y. Kendysh
- 21D. Franke
- 15P. Bosančić
- 12V. Šarkauskas
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 5-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(away) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Šiauliai(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kauno Žalgiris wins, 0 draws, 3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| May 31, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 0-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| May 20, 2025 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 Kauno Žalgiris | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.5 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st in A Lyga (51 points from 28 matches) and FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 4th (44 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 34 | 44 |
A question about Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius played?
- Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.