Banga vs Šiauliai: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Gargždų miesto stadionas, Gargždai
The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Šiauliai. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banga vs Šiauliai?
Banga starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banga have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Šiauliai have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 3-4 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-4 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Banga win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Šiauliai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai 1-3 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 30, 2026 | Banga 1-1 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Šiauliai 0-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Šiauliai 1-4 Banga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Šiauliai 1-3 Banga | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Banga 1-0 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Šiauliai score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Šiauliai | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banga sit 4th in A Lyga (37 points from 24 matches) and Šiauliai sit 9th (16 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Banga | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 50 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banga vs Šiauliai?
- The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Šiauliai.
- Where and when is Banga vs Šiauliai played?
- Banga vs Šiauliai is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Gargždų miesto stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.