East Thurrock United vs Merthyr Town: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round Qualifying ReplaysKick-off on December 1, 2015 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Rookery Hill, Corringham, Essex
Full time
What was the result of East Thurrock United vs Merthyr Town?
East Thurrock United won 3-1 on December 1, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Thurrock United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Merthyr Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Merthyr Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Tiverton Town(home) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | South Park(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Staines Town(home) | 3-6 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | East Thurrock United(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Hastings United(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Poole Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Hartley Wintney(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 East Thurrock United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Merthyr Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Merthyr Town 1-1 East Thurrock United | FA Trophy |
| Nov 16, 2013 | East Thurrock United 4-2 Merthyr Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs East Thurrock United on Nov 28, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
East Thurrock United score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Thurrock United | 3.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy