Merthyr Town vs East Thurrock United: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on November 28, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs East Thurrock United?
Merthyr Town and East Thurrock United drew 1-1 on November 28, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; East Thurrock United have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | Hastings United(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Poole Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Hartley Wintney(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Didcot Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | Tiverton Town(home) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | South Park(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Staines Town(home) | 3-6 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Yaxley(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Merthyr Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 East Thurrock United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | East Thurrock United 4-2 Merthyr Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: East Thurrock United vs Merthyr Town on Nov 16, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; East Thurrock United score 3.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| East Thurrock United | 3.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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