Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Lewes the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Lewes (1,690) and Eastbourne Borough (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Eastbourne Borough have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lewes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Eastbourne Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Lewes 1-2 Eastbourne Borough | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Eastbourne Borough 2-3 Lewes | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough on Aug 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Eastbourne Borough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Lewes the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough played?
- Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026DartfordvsChatham Town
- Aug 31, 2026LeatherheadvsDulwich Hamlet
- Aug 31, 2026WhitehawkvsBurgess Hill Town
- Aug 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Aug 31, 2026RamsgatevsWhyteleafe
- Aug 31, 2026Three BridgesvsCarshalton Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026CheshuntvsSt Albans City
- Aug 31, 2026Cray WanderersvsWelling United