Match

Eastern District vs Eastern: prediction and stats

League CupRound of 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, Hong Kong

Eastern DistrictEastern

The Footlab AI model makes Eastern District the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Eastern. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eastern District wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,923 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eastern District vs Eastern?

On Elo ratings, Eastern District has 1,329 points and Eastern 1,488.

44%26%30%
Eastern District winDrawEastern win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Eastern District vs Eastern

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Eastern District

4-3-3
  1. 11Luizinho
  2. 7Michel Renner
  3. 17Leo
  1. 8C. Scott
  2. 15Bruno Luiz
  3. 27Yueng Cheuk Kwan
  1. 13Li Ngai-Hoi
  2. 5Hélio Gonçalves
  3. 6Daniel Almazan
  4. 4Bruno Bianconi
  1. 23Paulo César

Eastern

4-3-3
  1. 9Y. Okubo
  2. 11Felipe Sá
  3. 23Lee Lok Him
  1. 27Gondra
  2. 32Hin Ting Lam
  3. 65Wong Fred Yang
  1. 5Alejandro Cova
  2. 4Alejandro Parada Gil
  3. 22Leung Kwun Chung
  4. 14Tsz Hin Loong
  1. 25Ko Chun Wilson

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern District have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Eastern have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eastern District
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Shatin(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Eastern(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Southern District(away)0-3Premier League
Oct 4, 2026Kowloon City(away)2-1League Cup
Sep 20, 2026Southern District(away)1-2Senior Shield
Eastern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Southern District(home)5-3Senior Shield
Oct 17, 2026Eastern District(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 9, 2026North District(home)1-3Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Kitchee(home)3-1League Cup
Sep 20, 2026BC Rangers(away)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eastern District win, 2 draws, 1 Eastern win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Eastern District 2-2 EasternPremier League
Mar 14, 2026Eastern 1-0 Eastern DistrictPremier League
Mar 7, 2026Eastern 0-0 Eastern DistrictFA Cup
Nov 1, 2025Eastern District 1-0 EasternPremier League

Last archived meeting: Eastern District vs Eastern on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eastern District score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eastern District1.42.0014/1514/15
Eastern2.31.9311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Eastern District vs Eastern?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eastern District vs Eastern?
The Footlab AI model makes Eastern District the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Eastern.
Where and when is Eastern District vs Eastern played?
Eastern District vs Eastern is played on November 15, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, in the League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Eastern District and Eastern

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