Shatin vs Eastern: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Eastern the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shatin. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,330 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shatin vs Eastern?
Eastern starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,512 vs 1,310).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shatin vs Eastern
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Eastern
4-3-3- 9Y. Okubo
- 7N. Khan
- 11Felipe Sá
- 27Gondra
- 32Hin Ting Lam
- 16Leung Chun Pong
- 5Alejandro Cova
- 4Alejandro Parada Gil
- 22Leung Kwun Chung
- 14Tsz Hin Loong
- 25Ko Chun Wilson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Eastern have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | North District(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Shatin win, 0 draws, 2 Eastern wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eastern 1-3 Shatin | Premier League |
| May 5, 2013 | Eastern 2-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Shatin 0-1 Eastern | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastern | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
A question about Shatin vs Eastern?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shatin vs Eastern?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eastern the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Shatin vs Eastern played?
- Shatin vs Eastern is played on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.