Eastern District vs Warriors: prediction and stats
FA CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 20, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Eastern District. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warriors wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern District vs Warriors?
Warriors is a heavy favourite: 1,692 Elo points against 1,344, a 348-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastern District vs Warriors
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastern District
4-3-3- 11Luizinho
- 7Michel Renner
- 17Leo
- 15Bruno Luiz
- 8C. Scott
- 16T. B. Kwok
- 13Li Ngai-Hoi
- 5Hélio Gonçalves
- 4Bruno Bianconi
- 3Sung Wang Ngai Kohki
- 23Paulo César
Warriors
4-3-3- 19Luis Phelipe
- 7N. Baffoe
- 80Chung Wai Keung
- 10B. Kraev
- 77M. Gigauri
- 6Wu Chun Ming
- 4R. Tachibana
- 44D. Tursunov
- 5Chan Yun Tung
- 22Tsang Yi Hang Ellison
- 28Chan Ka Ho
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern District have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Warriors have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kowloon City(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-2 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 1-0 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Eastern District wins, 1 draw, 2 Warriors wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Warriors 2-1 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Eastern District 0-0 Warriors | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Warriors 1-0 Eastern District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Warriors vs Eastern District on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern District score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Warriors score 2.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern District | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Warriors | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Eastern District vs Warriors?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern District vs Warriors?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Eastern District.
- Where and when is Eastern District vs Warriors played?
- Eastern District vs Warriors is played on February 20, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.