Southern District vs Warriors: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Southern District. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southern District vs Warriors?
Warriors starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southern District have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Warriors have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | North District(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Southern District win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Warriors 1-0 Southern District | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Southern District 0-3 Warriors | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Warriors 0-4 Southern District | Sapling Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Southern District 0-1 Warriors | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Warriors 1-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Warriors 0-1 Southern District | Sapling Cup |
Last archived meeting: Warriors vs Southern District on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Southern District score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Warriors score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Warriors | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southern District sit 2nd in Premier League (25 points from 22 matches) and Warriors sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southern District vs Warriors?
- The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Southern District.
- Where and when is Southern District vs Warriors played?
- Southern District vs Warriors is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Aberdeen Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.