Eastern vs North District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Eastern the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for North District. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern vs North District?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Eastern (1,536) and North District (1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; North District have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | North District(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Eastern win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 North District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Eastern 3-1 North District | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | North District 0-3 Eastern | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Eastern 1-4 North District | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | North District 0-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | North District 1-3 Eastern | Sapling Cup |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Eastern 2-1 North District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Eastern vs North District on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; North District score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 1.7 | 2.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| North District | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern sit 5th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and North District sit 4th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern vs North District?
- The Footlab model makes Eastern the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for North District.
- Where and when is Eastern vs North District played?
- Eastern vs North District is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.