Eastern vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Eastern. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,305 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern vs Kitchee?
Kitchee starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastern vs Kitchee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastern
4-3-3- 9Y. Okubo
- 7N. Khan
- 11Felipe Sá
- 27Gondra
- 32Hin Ting Lam
- 16Leung Chun Pong
- 5Alejandro Cova
- 4Alejandro Parada Gil
- 22Leung Kwun Chung
- 14Tsz Hin Loong
- 25Ko Chun Wilson
Kitchee
4-3-3- 21Koldo Obieta
- 18Everton Camargo
- 30Walter
- 10Kendy
- 9Revilla
- 7R. Mingazow
- 2Marcao
- 3Roger Riera
- 6Jay Haddow
- 22C. Beattie
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kitchee have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | North District(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eastern win, 3 draws, 2 Kitchee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern 3-1 Kitchee | League Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Kitchee 4-4 Eastern | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kitchee 2-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Eastern 0-1 Kitchee | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Eastern 1-1 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Eastern 1-1 Kitchee | Sapling Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern sit 5th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Kitchee sit 1st (52 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
A question about Eastern vs Kitchee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Eastern.
- Where and when is Eastern vs Kitchee played?
- Eastern vs Kitchee is played on December 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.