Eastern vs Warriors: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eastern. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern vs Warriors?
Warriors starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastern vs Warriors
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastern
4-3-3- 9Y. Okubo
- 7N. Khan
- 11Felipe Sá
- 27Gondra
- 32Hin Ting Lam
- 16Leung Chun Pong
- 5Alejandro Cova
- 4Alejandro Parada Gil
- 22Leung Kwun Chung
- 14Tsz Hin Loong
- 25Ko Chun Wilson
Warriors
4-3-3- 19Luis Phelipe
- 7N. Baffoe
- 80Chung Wai Keung
- 10B. Kraev
- 6Wu Chun Ming
- 11S. Ichikawa
- 4R. Tachibana
- 44D. Tursunov
- 5Chan Yun Tung
- 22Tsang Yi Hang Ellison
- 28Chan Ka Ho
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Warriors have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | North District(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 1-0 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastern wins, 1 draw, 3 Warriors wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors 0-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eastern 1-1 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Warriors 8-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Warriors 2-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Eastern 3-4 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Eastern 1-0 Warriors | Senior Shield |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Warriors score 2.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Warriors | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern sit 5th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Warriors sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
A question about Eastern vs Warriors?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern vs Warriors?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eastern.
- Where and when is Eastern vs Warriors played?
- Eastern vs Warriors is played on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.