Eastern vs Warriors: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Eastern. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern vs Warriors?
Warriors starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Warriors have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | North District(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | North District(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastern win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors 0-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eastern 1-1 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Warriors 8-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Warriors 2-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Eastern 3-4 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Eastern 1-0 Warriors | Senior Shield |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warriors score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 1.7 | 2.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Warriors | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern sit 5th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Warriors sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern vs Warriors?
- The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Eastern.
- Where and when is Eastern vs Warriors played?
- Eastern vs Warriors is played on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.