Shatin vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Shatin. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shatin vs Kitchee?
Kitchee is a heavy favourite: 1,665 Elo points against 1,310, a 355-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shatin vs Kitchee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Kitchee
4-3-3- 21Koldo Obieta
- 30Walter
- 18Everton Camargo
- 9Revilla
- 7R. Mingazow
- 5Illarramendi
- 3Roger Riera
- 22C. Beattie
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 2Marcao
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kitchee have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
A question about Shatin vs Kitchee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shatin vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Shatin vs Kitchee played?
- Shatin vs Kitchee is played on January 31, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.