Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; AFC Fylde have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastleigh win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 AFC Fylde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | AFC Fylde 2-2 Eastleigh | National League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Eastleigh 4-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | AFC Fylde 1-2 Eastleigh | National League |
| Feb 11, 2020 | Eastleigh 2-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Sep 21, 2019 | AFC Fylde 3-1 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Eastleigh on Dec 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and AFC Fylde sit 13th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde played?
- Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.