Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedChesham United

The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

Ebbsfleet United starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,722).

77%14%9%
Ebbsfleet United winDrawChesham United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ebbsfleet United

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Cosgrave
  2. 14D. Samuel
  3. 17L. Peake
  1. 22B. Chapman
  2. 4J. Hessenthaler
  3. 20M. Manktelow
  1. 24M. Olagunju
  2. 12Ronny Nelson
  3. 7J. Passley
  4. 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
  1. 13G. Bellagambi

Chesham United

Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Chesham United have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Farnborough(away)6-0National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Truro City(away)0-3National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)3-1National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Maidenhead(home)4-0National League - South
Oct 20, 2026Horsham(home)2-2National League - South
Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)2-2National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-4National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Oct 20, 2026Forest Green(away)0-5FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Forest Green(home)0-0FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ebbsfleet United win, 0 draws, 1 Chesham United win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Chesham United 4-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 22, 2025Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United2.50.968/1510/15
Chesham United1.92.338/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ebbsfleet United sit 1st in National League - South (31 points from 14 matches) and Chesham United sit 21st (11 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ebbsfleet United14941351031
21Chesham United14329203211

A question about Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Chesham United

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