Match

Folkestone Invicta vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent

Folkestone InvictaTruro City

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Truro City. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Truro City?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,748).

Folkestone Invicta win64 %
Draw21 %
Truro City win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Folkestone Invicta sit 12th in National League - South (5 points from 3 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
12Folkestone Invicta3120735

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Truro City.
Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Truro City played?
Folkestone Invicta vs Truro City is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Folkestone Invicta and Truro City

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