Torquay vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Dover?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Torquay wins, 1 draw, 0 Dover wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Dover 2-3 Torquay | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Torquay 3-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Torquay 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Dover 2-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Dover 1-3 Torquay | National League |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Torquay 2-1 Dover | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 11th in National League - South (16 points from 11 matches) and Dover sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 11 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Torquay vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Dover played?
- Torquay vs Dover is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 7, 2026Chelmsford CityvsFarnborough
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