Where and when is Torquay vs Dover played?

Torquay vs Dover is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Torquay vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

Torquay

Dover

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Dover. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Dover?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,722).

Torquay win64 %

Draw20 %

Dover win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Horsham(home)	1-1	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 3, 2026	Dover 2-3 Torquay	National League - South
Aug 25, 2025	Torquay 3-2 Dover	National League - South
Jan 20, 2024	Torquay 1-0 Dover	National League - South
Aug 5, 2023	Dover 2-2 Torquay	National League - South
Feb 12, 2022	Dover 1-3 Torquay	National League
Nov 13, 2021	Torquay 2-1 Dover	National League

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Torquay on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Torquay	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	11/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Dover.
Where and when is Torquay vs Dover played?: Torquay vs Dover is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.