Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,812) and Horsham (1,816).

Ebbsfleet United win55 %
Draw24 %
Horsham win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Horsham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Horsham 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 25, 2025Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HorshamNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Horsham.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Horsham

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