Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
On Elo ratings, Ebbsfleet United has 1,895 points and Horsham 1,825.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Horsham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-4 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ebbsfleet United wins, 1 draw, 1 Horsham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Horsham 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Horsham | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebbsfleet United sit 6th in National League - South (18 points from 8 matches) and Horsham sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge1-0Slough Town
- Aug 31, 2026Braintree0-2Farnborough
- Aug 31, 2026Maidenhead1-1AFC Totton
- Aug 31, 2026Hampton & Richmond1-4Maidstone Utd
- Aug 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare1-1Chelmsford City
- Aug 31, 2026Chesham United2-2Dover
- Aug 31, 2026Folkestone Invicta2-0Hemel Hempstead Town
- Aug 31, 2026Salisbury1-0Billericay Town