Braintree vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex
The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Braintree vs Farnborough?
Farnborough starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Braintree win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Farnborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Braintree 2-0 Farnborough | FA Cup |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Farnborough 1-0 Braintree | National League - South |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Braintree 1-1 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Farnborough 0-1 Braintree | National League - South |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Farnborough 2-2 Braintree | FA Trophy |
| Nov 15, 2022 | Braintree 0-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Farnborough on Oct 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Braintree vs Farnborough played?
- Braintree vs Farnborough is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 31, 2026MaidenheadvsAFC Totton
- Aug 31, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsHorsham
- Aug 31, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsMaidstone Utd
- Aug 31, 2026Weston-super-MarevsChelmsford City
- Aug 31, 2026Chesham UnitedvsDover
- Aug 31, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHemel Hempstead Town
- Aug 31, 2026SalisburyvsBillericay Town