Match

Braintree vs Farnborough: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex

BraintreeFarnborough

The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Braintree vs Farnborough?

Farnborough starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,641).

Braintree win32 %
Draw25 %
Farnborough win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Braintree win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Farnborough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2025Braintree 2-0 FarnboroughFA Cup
Dec 23, 2023Farnborough 1-0 BraintreeNational League - South
Sep 9, 2023Braintree 1-1 FarnboroughNational League - South
Feb 25, 2023Farnborough 0-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Dec 20, 2022Farnborough 2-2 BraintreeFA Trophy
Nov 15, 2022Braintree 0-0 FarnboroughNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Farnborough on Oct 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Farnborough?
The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Braintree.
Where and when is Braintree vs Farnborough played?
Braintree vs Farnborough is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Braintree and Farnborough

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