Where and when is Chesham United vs Dover played?

Chesham United vs Dover is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chesham United vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham United

Dover

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Dover?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,788) and Dover (1,722).

Chesham United win59 %

Draw22 %

Dover win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Dover 2-2 Chesham United	National League - South
Dec 6, 2025	Chesham United 0-1 Dover	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Chesham United on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Dover played?: Chesham United vs Dover is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.