Match

Ebro vs Osasuna II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Almozara, Zaragoza

EbroOsasuna II

The Footlab model makes Ebro the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Osasuna II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebro vs Osasuna II?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Ebro (1,908) and Osasuna II (1,827).

Ebro win52 %
Draw27 %
Osasuna II win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebro have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Osasuna II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Huesca II(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Utebo(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Eibar II(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026Beasain(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Osasuna II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Mirandes(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026CF Talavera(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2026Celta de Vigo II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ebro win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Osasuna II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 28, 2021Osasuna II 0-2 EbroFriendlies Clubs
Feb 7, 2021Ebro 0-0 Osasuna IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 7, 2020Osasuna II 0-0 EbroPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Osasuna II vs Ebro on Aug 28, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Ebro score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Osasuna II score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebro1.11.329/155/15
Osasuna II0.70.863/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ebro3411167423649

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebro vs Osasuna II?
The Footlab model makes Ebro the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Osasuna II.
Where and when is Ebro vs Osasuna II played?
Ebro vs Osasuna II is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Almozara, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ebro and Osasuna II

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