Utebo vs Peña Sport: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Peña Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utebo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Peña Sport?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Utebo (1,905) and Peña Sport (1,904).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utebo vs Peña Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utebo
Not enough data to predict the Utebo lineup.
Peña Sport
Not enough data to predict the Peña Sport lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Peña Sport have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arnedo(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-5 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calamocha(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Utebo wins, 1 draw, 0 Peña Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Peña Sport 1-1 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Peña Sport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utebo sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (9 points from 9 matches) and Peña Sport sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Peña Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Utebo | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Utebo vs Peña Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Peña Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Peña Sport.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Peña Sport played?
- Utebo vs Peña Sport is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.