Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, Cape Coast
The Footlab model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Nsuopun Fidelity. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ebusua Dwarfs (1,570) and Nsuopun Fidelity (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebusua Dwarfs have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Nsuopun Fidelity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Police National(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Rospak(home) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Skyy(away) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ashanti Gold(home) | 3-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UCC Youngsters(away) | 2-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ebusua Dwarfs win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nsuopun Fidelity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs 1-1 Nsuopun Fidelity | Division One League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Nsuopun Fidelity 3-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nsuopun Fidelity score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Nsuopun Fidelity | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebusua Dwarfs sit 8th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Nsuopun Fidelity sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nsuopun Fidelity | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity?
- The Footlab model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Nsuopun Fidelity.
- Where and when is Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity played?
- Ebusua Dwarfs vs Nsuopun Fidelity is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.