Match

Australia U17 vs Uganda U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Australia U17Uganda U17

The Footlab model makes Australia U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Uganda U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Australia U17 vs Uganda U17?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Australia U17 (1,607) and Uganda U17 (1,522).

Australia U17 win52 %
Draw21 %
Uganda U17 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Australia U17 have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Uganda U17 have 5, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Australia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 19, 2026China PR U17(away)0-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 16, 2026Vietnam U17(away)3-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 13, 2026Uzbekistan U17(away)0-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 6, 2026India U17(home)4-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
Jan 24, 2026Solomon Islands U19(away)3-1Friendlies
Uganda U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Ghana U17(home)2-2CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 19, 2026Côte d'Ivoire U17(away)2-2CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 16, 2026Cameroon U17(away)0-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 13, 2026DR Congo U17(home)3-0CAF Cup of Nations - U17
Nov 18, 2025Burkina Faso U17(home)1-1World Cup - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Australia U17 score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda U17 score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Australia U172.31.365/1510/15
Uganda U171.41.347/138/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Australia U17 vs Uganda U17?
The Footlab model makes Australia U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Uganda U17.
Where and when is Australia U17 vs Uganda U17 played?
Australia U17 vs Uganda U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?