Australia U17 vs Uganda U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Australia U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Uganda U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Australia U17 vs Uganda U17?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Australia U17 (1,607) and Uganda U17 (1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Australia U17 have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Uganda U17 have 5, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | China PR U17(away) | 0-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Vietnam U17(away) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Uzbekistan U17(away) | 0-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | India U17(home) | 4-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Solomon Islands U19(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Ghana U17(home) | 2-2 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 19, 2026 | Côte d'Ivoire U17(away) | 2-2 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 16, 2026 | Cameroon U17(away) | 0-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 13, 2026 | DR Congo U17(home) | 3-0 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Burkina Faso U17(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Australia U17 score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda U17 score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia U17 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Uganda U17 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/13 | 8/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Australia U17 vs Uganda U17?
- The Footlab model makes Australia U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Uganda U17.
- Where and when is Australia U17 vs Uganda U17 played?
- Australia U17 vs Uganda U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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